Bell Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sequim 2 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 181 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 19 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 2 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 1 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 | Jan 2 | Dec 21 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Feb 15 | Feb 5 | Jan 26 | Jan 13 | Jan 3 | Dec 29 | Dec 19 | Dec 6 | Nov 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 10 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 19 | Feb 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 167 | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 131 | 122 |
| 32°F | 205 | 197 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 257 | 245 | 238 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 212 | 205 | 195 |
| 24°F | 324 | 308 | 296 | 288 | 278 | 269 | 260 | 252 | 239 |
| 20°F | 365 | 362 | 351 | 338 | 331 | 322 | 313 | 303 | 286 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 347 | 334 | 321 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 42% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,887
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 21
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,525
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,220
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,249
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 559
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 153
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 798 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 701 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 685 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 545 | 0 | 20 |
| May | 377 | 0 | 113 |
| June | 239 | 2 | 214 |
| July | 142 | 10 | 333 |
| August | 140 | 8 | 334 |
| September | 269 | 1 | 186 |
| October | 505 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 675 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 811 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.6 km from Bell Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00457544 (Sequim 2 E). Public domain.