Ames Lake Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Snoqualmie Falls. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 30 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 223 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 26, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last March 30, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last February 27, first November 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 |
| 28°F | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 18 | Jan 4 | Dec 22 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Jan 26 | Jan 8 | Dec 31 | Dec 19 | Dec 8 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 14 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 | Jan 14 | Feb 3 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 197 | 190 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 164 | 156 |
| 32°F | 252 | 242 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 210 | 204 | 195 |
| 28°F | 319 | 306 | 295 | 285 | 277 | 268 | 259 | 250 | 236 |
| 24°F | 365 | 359 | 346 | 337 | 328 | 318 | 310 | 302 | 284 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 345 | 332 | 315 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 83% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 42% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 10% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,991
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 151
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,472
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,019
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,889
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,058
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 481
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 741 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 631 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 606 | 0 | 19 |
| April | 465 | 0 | 56 |
| May | 311 | 4 | 172 |
| June | 173 | 17 | 295 |
| July | 61 | 58 | 462 |
| August | 54 | 60 | 471 |
| September | 169 | 11 | 294 |
| October | 419 | 0 | 94 |
| November | 609 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 752 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.1 km from Ames Lake. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00457773 (Snoqualmie Falls). Public domain.