Smithfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Newport News Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 221 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 20, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
| 20°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 24°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 21 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 217 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 178 |
| 32°F | 241 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 |
| 28°F | 270 | 261 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 222 |
| 24°F | 304 | 293 | 286 | 279 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 256 | 248 |
| 20°F | 335 | 328 | 318 | 311 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 275 |
| 16°F | 365 | 360 | 351 | 342 | 334 | 329 | 321 | 311 | 303 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 83% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,536
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,562
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,456
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,961
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,627
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,448
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,427
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 781 | 0 | 29 |
| February | 641 | 1 | 36 |
| March | 515 | 5 | 103 |
| April | 238 | 40 | 277 |
| May | 72 | 123 | 516 |
| June | 6 | 294 | 738 |
| July | 0 | 442 | 907 |
| August | 0 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 12 | 215 | 652 |
| October | 168 | 54 | 360 |
| November | 433 | 4 | 114 |
| December | 671 | 1 | 47 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.7 km from Smithfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093741 (Newport News Intl AP). Public domain.