Rocky Mount Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rocky Mt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 188 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 149 |
| 32°F | 210 | 203 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 167 |
| 28°F | 236 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 204 | 198 | 191 |
| 24°F | 265 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 216 |
| 20°F | 299 | 288 | 281 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 252 | 243 |
| 16°F | 333 | 323 | 314 | 307 | 302 | 296 | 289 | 281 | 270 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,290
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,066
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,373
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,980
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,754
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,701
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,805
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 877 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 728 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 585 | 2 | 69 |
| April | 297 | 17 | 208 |
| May | 112 | 78 | 434 |
| June | 13 | 215 | 652 |
| July | 1 | 333 | 797 |
| August | 2 | 284 | 747 |
| September | 50 | 119 | 519 |
| October | 273 | 17 | 235 |
| November | 562 | 1 | 55 |
| December | 791 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Rocky Mount. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00447338 (Rocky Mt). Public domain.