Rockbridge County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lexington. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 181 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 181 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 140 |
| 32°F | 201 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 167 | 158 |
| 28°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 182 |
| 24°F | 249 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 |
| 20°F | 281 | 272 | 264 | 258 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 236 | 229 |
| 16°F | 312 | 302 | 295 | 289 | 282 | 276 | 269 | 262 | 254 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,661
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,020
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,117
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,783
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,613
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,596
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,734
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 953 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 783 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 642 | 1 | 48 |
| April | 329 | 11 | 183 |
| May | 126 | 67 | 410 |
| June | 14 | 202 | 637 |
| July | 0 | 320 | 784 |
| August | 2 | 281 | 744 |
| September | 54 | 123 | 519 |
| October | 295 | 16 | 217 |
| November | 605 | 0 | 45 |
| December | 857 | 0 | 10 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.3 km from Rockbridge County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00444876 (Lexington). Public domain.