Monterey Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mustoe 1 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 148 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 26 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 3 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 148 | 141 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 108 |
| 32°F | 167 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 134 | 128 |
| 28°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 155 | 146 |
| 24°F | 215 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 186 | 179 | 170 |
| 20°F | 244 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 201 |
| 16°F | 271 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,140
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 310
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,486
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,320
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,319
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,475
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 795
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,128 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 941 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 817 | 0 | 17 |
| April | 494 | 1 | 82 |
| May | 250 | 11 | 248 |
| June | 71 | 59 | 438 |
| July | 22 | 120 | 563 |
| August | 34 | 93 | 524 |
| September | 157 | 25 | 324 |
| October | 461 | 2 | 100 |
| November | 748 | 0 | 16 |
| December | 1,017 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.8 km from Monterey. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00445880 (Mustoe 1 Sw). Public domain.