Louisa County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Louisa. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 174 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 134 |
| 32°F | 196 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 161 | 153 |
| 28°F | 221 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 179 |
| 24°F | 247 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 203 |
| 20°F | 277 | 268 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 226 |
| 16°F | 309 | 299 | 292 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 268 | 261 | 252 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,448
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,119
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,382
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,020
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,815
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,763
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,863
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 921 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 750 | 0 | 16 |
| March | 607 | 2 | 68 |
| April | 292 | 24 | 222 |
| May | 112 | 81 | 436 |
| June | 15 | 223 | 658 |
| July | 1 | 340 | 804 |
| August | 2 | 295 | 758 |
| September | 52 | 132 | 530 |
| October | 284 | 21 | 232 |
| November | 579 | 1 | 61 |
| December | 834 | 0 | 18 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.1 km from Louisa County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00445050 (Louisa). Public domain.