Lakeside Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ashland Hanover CO Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 202 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
| 20°F | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 200 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 161 |
| 32°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 183 |
| 28°F | 252 | 244 | 237 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 206 |
| 24°F | 281 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 238 | 229 |
| 20°F | 313 | 304 | 297 | 290 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 253 |
| 16°F | 339 | 331 | 324 | 317 | 311 | 306 | 300 | 292 | 283 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,957
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,420
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,019
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,586
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,310
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,196
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,231
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 851 | 0 | 20 |
| February | 695 | 1 | 27 |
| March | 550 | 6 | 91 |
| April | 264 | 36 | 252 |
| May | 87 | 113 | 492 |
| June | 8 | 278 | 720 |
| July | 0 | 411 | 876 |
| August | 1 | 357 | 821 |
| September | 30 | 181 | 602 |
| October | 227 | 35 | 290 |
| November | 496 | 2 | 89 |
| December | 749 | 1 | 32 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.7 km from Lakeside. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093775 (Ashland Hanover CO Muni AP). Public domain.