King William Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Walkerton 2 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 19, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 24 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 |
| 20°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 167 |
| 32°F | 228 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 189 |
| 28°F | 255 | 247 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 210 |
| 24°F | 283 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 231 |
| 20°F | 315 | 304 | 298 | 292 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 256 |
| 16°F | 346 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 314 | 307 | 301 | 294 | 282 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 97% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,610
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,563
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,428
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,941
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,611
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,438
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,421
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 806 | 0 | 25 |
| February | 653 | 0 | 29 |
| March | 499 | 7 | 109 |
| April | 215 | 43 | 296 |
| May | 64 | 132 | 533 |
| June | 5 | 304 | 748 |
| July | 0 | 431 | 896 |
| August | 0 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 21 | 213 | 642 |
| October | 184 | 46 | 338 |
| November | 451 | 4 | 112 |
| December | 712 | 1 | 35 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.7 km from King William. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00448829 (Walkerton 2 Nw). Public domain.