Hollins Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Roanoke 8 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 198 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 195 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 157 |
| 32°F | 217 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 195 | 191 | 185 | 178 |
| 28°F | 244 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 203 |
| 24°F | 274 | 264 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 |
| 20°F | 303 | 295 | 288 | 282 | 277 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 248 |
| 16°F | 334 | 325 | 318 | 312 | 306 | 300 | 295 | 288 | 278 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,432
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,014
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,251
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,884
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,680
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,635
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,743
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 914 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 757 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 606 | 2 | 65 |
| April | 309 | 13 | 198 |
| May | 117 | 69 | 420 |
| June | 13 | 196 | 633 |
| July | 1 | 313 | 776 |
| August | 3 | 278 | 741 |
| September | 48 | 126 | 528 |
| October | 275 | 17 | 235 |
| November | 571 | 1 | 54 |
| December | 818 | 0 | 13 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.7 km from Hollins. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00447278 (Roanoke 8 N). Public domain.