Gratton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Burkes Garden. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 26 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 28°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | May 5 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 22 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 149 | 142 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 119 | 113 | 105 |
| 32°F | 171 | 165 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 135 | 128 |
| 28°F | 193 | 187 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 157 | 149 |
| 24°F | 217 | 210 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 172 |
| 20°F | 242 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 197 |
| 16°F | 272 | 262 | 254 | 247 | 243 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 218 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,967
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 301
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,601
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,399
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,370
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,501
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 801
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,082 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 906 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 784 | 0 | 26 |
| April | 477 | 1 | 99 |
| May | 252 | 12 | 251 |
| June | 69 | 59 | 440 |
| July | 22 | 116 | 559 |
| August | 36 | 84 | 513 |
| September | 152 | 27 | 333 |
| October | 461 | 3 | 110 |
| November | 747 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 980 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.5 km from Gratton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00441209 (Burkes Garden). Public domain.