Clifton Forge Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Covington Fltr Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 136 | 131 |
| 32°F | 195 | 187 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 157 | 149 |
| 28°F | 219 | 211 | 205 | 200 | 197 | 193 | 187 | 180 | 172 |
| 24°F | 247 | 238 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 207 | 200 |
| 20°F | 278 | 268 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 231 | 224 |
| 16°F | 310 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 267 | 260 | 251 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,144
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 704
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,505
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,237
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,124
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,162
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,355
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,023 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 846 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 708 | 0 | 33 |
| April | 384 | 5 | 146 |
| May | 163 | 41 | 351 |
| June | 29 | 137 | 558 |
| July | 3 | 234 | 696 |
| August | 7 | 201 | 659 |
| September | 76 | 77 | 453 |
| October | 339 | 9 | 181 |
| November | 659 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 907 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.4 km from Clifton Forge. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00442044 (Covington Fltr Plt). Public domain.