Altavista Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lynchburg Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 32°F | 211 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 176 | 169 |
| 28°F | 238 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 195 |
| 24°F | 266 | 257 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 216 |
| 20°F | 298 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 250 | 242 |
| 16°F | 327 | 316 | 310 | 304 | 297 | 291 | 285 | 277 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,295
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,115
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,461
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,073
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,846
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,778
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,870
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 902 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 734 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 578 | 2 | 74 |
| April | 284 | 19 | 221 |
| May | 106 | 81 | 442 |
| June | 12 | 221 | 659 |
| July | 1 | 340 | 804 |
| August | 2 | 296 | 759 |
| September | 46 | 136 | 540 |
| October | 267 | 19 | 243 |
| November | 556 | 1 | 65 |
| December | 808 | 0 | 17 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.3 km from Altavista. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013733 (Lynchburg Rgnl AP). Public domain.