Bristol Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for S Lincoln. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 21 and the first fall freeze around September 25, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first September 12
- Median at 32°F
- last May 21, first September 25
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 25 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 24 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 16 | May 11 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 |
| 16°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 21 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 27 |
| 32°F | Sep 8 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 20 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 121 | 113 | 108 | 103 | 98 | 93 | 88 | 81 | 70 |
| 32°F | 146 | 139 | 133 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 103 |
| 28°F | 169 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 142 | 136 | 129 |
| 24°F | 197 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 161 | 154 |
| 20°F | 218 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 179 |
| 16°F | 237 | 230 | 225 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,791
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 155
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,298
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,378
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,588
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 938
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 453
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,530 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,330 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,211 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 769 | 1 | 24 |
| May | 418 | 7 | 136 |
| June | 175 | 31 | 313 |
| July | 73 | 64 | 456 |
| August | 107 | 39 | 397 |
| September | 294 | 14 | 206 |
| October | 641 | 0 | 45 |
| November | 938 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,307 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.8 km from Bristol. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00437612 (S Lincoln). Public domain.