Bradford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Benton 5 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 133 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first September 17
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 14 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 |
| 32°F | Jun 3 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 30 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 28°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 128 | 122 | 117 | 112 | 108 | 104 | 99 | 94 | 85 |
| 32°F | 154 | 147 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 124 | 118 | 110 |
| 28°F | 180 | 173 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 145 | 138 |
| 24°F | 206 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 165 |
| 20°F | 228 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 190 |
| 16°F | 247 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 210 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,364
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 226
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,557
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,608
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,791
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,109
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 575
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,491 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,287 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,153 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 727 | 1 | 27 |
| May | 378 | 8 | 154 |
| June | 145 | 40 | 349 |
| July | 46 | 93 | 511 |
| August | 75 | 67 | 458 |
| September | 253 | 18 | 236 |
| October | 611 | 0 | 48 |
| November | 918 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,280 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.1 km from Bradford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00270681 (Benton 5 Sw). Public domain.