Willard Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Brigham City Waste Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 23, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 29 | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 144 | 137 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 112 | 106 | 99 |
| 32°F | 172 | 165 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 140 | 133 | 123 |
| 28°F | 205 | 197 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 170 | 163 | 155 |
| 24°F | 240 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 201 | 196 | 185 |
| 20°F | 269 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 244 | 238 | 233 | 226 | 216 |
| 16°F | 293 | 285 | 278 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,101
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 703
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,918
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,755
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,761
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,934
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,249
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,170 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 911 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 702 | 0 | 13 |
| April | 488 | 1 | 68 |
| May | 248 | 17 | 253 |
| June | 68 | 103 | 486 |
| July | 5 | 291 | 752 |
| August | 8 | 239 | 696 |
| September | 118 | 52 | 390 |
| October | 455 | 1 | 98 |
| November | 803 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,125 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.8 km from Willard. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00420928 (Brigham City Waste Plt). Public domain.