Wellsville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Logan 5 Sw Exp Farm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 12 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first September 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 12, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 14 |
| 32°F | May 29 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 4 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 |
| 32°F | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 130 | 123 | 118 | 114 | 109 | 105 | 101 | 94 | 86 |
| 32°F | 157 | 151 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 129 | 124 | 117 |
| 28°F | 187 | 180 | 174 | 169 | 164 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 143 |
| 24°F | 223 | 213 | 206 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 170 |
| 20°F | 248 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 208 | 199 |
| 16°F | 272 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 223 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,314
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 447
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,129
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,087
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,208
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,483
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 895
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,331 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,088 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 854 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 591 | 0 | 34 |
| May | 353 | 4 | 166 |
| June | 123 | 53 | 384 |
| July | 15 | 203 | 652 |
| August | 22 | 161 | 604 |
| September | 188 | 26 | 304 |
| October | 561 | 0 | 55 |
| November | 902 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,285 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.6 km from Wellsville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00425194 (Logan 5 Sw Exp Farm). Public domain.