Wayne County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hanksville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 149 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 9 | May 3 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 146 | 140 | 134 | 129 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 111 | 102 |
| 32°F | 168 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 134 | 127 |
| 28°F | 191 | 185 | 179 | 174 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 150 |
| 24°F | 217 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 174 |
| 20°F | 248 | 238 | 232 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 203 | 195 |
| 16°F | 275 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 238 | 232 | 222 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,305
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,266
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,054
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,805
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,710
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,760
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,949
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,111 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 808 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 579 | 0 | 41 |
| April | 363 | 4 | 142 |
| May | 131 | 61 | 401 |
| June | 13 | 255 | 692 |
| July | 0 | 459 | 924 |
| August | 1 | 365 | 829 |
| September | 54 | 117 | 514 |
| October | 368 | 5 | 154 |
| November | 761 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,117 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.3 km from Wayne County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023170 (Hanksville). Public domain.