Smithfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Richmond. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 18 | May 12 |
| 32°F | Jun 2 | May 25 | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 17 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 139 | 130 | 123 | 119 | 116 | 111 | 107 | 101 | 94 |
| 32°F | 164 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 128 | 120 |
| 28°F | 195 | 187 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 158 | 149 |
| 24°F | 228 | 219 | 213 | 207 | 201 | 197 | 191 | 185 | 177 |
| 20°F | 255 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 215 | 206 |
| 16°F | 279 | 271 | 266 | 262 | 257 | 253 | 248 | 241 | 233 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,908
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 573
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,450
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,369
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,451
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,693
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,067
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,280 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,026 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 811 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 572 | 0 | 38 |
| May | 328 | 6 | 181 |
| June | 107 | 67 | 413 |
| July | 8 | 248 | 705 |
| August | 13 | 208 | 660 |
| September | 140 | 44 | 363 |
| October | 503 | 1 | 82 |
| November | 876 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,244 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Smithfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00427271 (Richmond). Public domain.