Manila Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Manila. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 128 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last May 5, first October 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 25 | May 19 |
| 32°F | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 20°F | Apr 30 | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 124 | 118 | 113 | 108 | 103 | 100 | 96 | 91 | 84 |
| 32°F | 153 | 145 | 138 | 134 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 113 | 104 |
| 28°F | 176 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 147 | 140 | 128 |
| 24°F | 202 | 196 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 159 |
| 20°F | 226 | 218 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 186 | 177 |
| 16°F | 250 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 215 | 209 | 199 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,593
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 232
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,661
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,666
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,833
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,147
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 607
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,279 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,068 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 888 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 663 | 0 | 19 |
| May | 407 | 3 | 131 |
| June | 155 | 29 | 332 |
| July | 20 | 118 | 563 |
| August | 48 | 76 | 493 |
| September | 239 | 7 | 242 |
| October | 600 | 0 | 47 |
| November | 951 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,275 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from Manila. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00425377 (Manila). Public domain.