Junction Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Circleville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 27, a growing season of about 125 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 27
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 22 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 13 | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 | May 4 |
| 28°F | Jun 3 | May 24 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
| 24°F | May 17 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 124 | 117 | 111 | 107 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 89 | 82 |
| 32°F | 149 | 141 | 135 | 130 | 125 | 121 | 115 | 108 | 98 |
| 28°F | 172 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 137 | 131 | 119 |
| 24°F | 196 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 161 | 154 | 145 |
| 20°F | 224 | 215 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 181 | 172 |
| 16°F | 258 | 248 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 215 | 209 | 199 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,964
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 538
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,726
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,555
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,565
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,734
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,063
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,074 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 847 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 721 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 504 | 0 | 67 |
| May | 273 | 10 | 225 |
| June | 74 | 95 | 472 |
| July | 4 | 227 | 688 |
| August | 7 | 168 | 626 |
| September | 118 | 38 | 375 |
| October | 459 | 1 | 93 |
| November | 782 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,102 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.1 km from Junction. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00421432 (Circleville). Public domain.