Hildale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Colorado City. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 180 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 10, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 22 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 19 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | Mar 3 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 180 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 147 | 141 | 134 |
| 32°F | 205 | 197 | 191 | 186 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 157 |
| 28°F | 234 | 225 | 219 | 213 | 206 | 201 | 195 | 188 | 180 |
| 24°F | 269 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 234 | 228 | 219 | 210 |
| 20°F | 299 | 290 | 283 | 276 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 243 |
| 16°F | 332 | 321 | 313 | 305 | 299 | 293 | 287 | 280 | 270 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,457
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,233
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,351
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,984
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,812
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,806
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,949
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 877 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 687 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 566 | 0 | 49 |
| April | 372 | 3 | 142 |
| May | 151 | 53 | 378 |
| June | 23 | 228 | 656 |
| July | 0 | 408 | 872 |
| August | 1 | 365 | 829 |
| September | 28 | 158 | 581 |
| October | 254 | 18 | 257 |
| November | 603 | 0 | 38 |
| December | 896 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.2 km from Hildale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00021920 (Colorado City). Public domain.