Cedar Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fairfield. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 2 and the first fall freeze around September 16, a growing season of about 103 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 2, first September 16
- Median at 28°F
- last May 19, first September 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 24 | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 23 | May 18 |
| 28°F | Jun 10 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 2 |
| 24°F | May 26 | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 23 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 1 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
| 28°F | Sep 10 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 24°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 16°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 99 | 92 | 86 | 81 | 76 | 72 | 66 | 61 | 51 |
| 32°F | 125 | 118 | 112 | 107 | 103 | 98 | 93 | 86 | 76 |
| 28°F | 150 | 143 | 137 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 117 | 111 | 101 |
| 24°F | 174 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 143 | 137 | 127 |
| 20°F | 204 | 195 | 189 | 183 | 179 | 173 | 169 | 163 | 154 |
| 16°F | 239 | 229 | 221 | 215 | 210 | 204 | 198 | 191 | 181 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,713
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 406
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,225
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,129
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,217
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,468
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 863
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,200 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 950 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 763 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 561 | 0 | 38 |
| May | 331 | 4 | 174 |
| June | 108 | 54 | 398 |
| July | 9 | 183 | 638 |
| August | 17 | 140 | 589 |
| September | 170 | 25 | 314 |
| October | 541 | 0 | 56 |
| November | 876 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,187 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.9 km from Cedar Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00422696 (Fairfield). Public domain.