Winters Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wingate. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 3 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 217 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last April 3, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 21, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 32°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
| 24°F | Mar 30 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 |
| 20°F | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 210 | 204 | 200 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 182 | 175 |
| 32°F | 242 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 217 | 211 | 207 | 201 | 194 |
| 28°F | 264 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 214 |
| 24°F | 288 | 279 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 243 | 233 |
| 20°F | 320 | 308 | 301 | 293 | 287 | 282 | 275 | 268 | 258 |
| 16°F | 355 | 344 | 336 | 330 | 323 | 315 | 306 | 298 | 286 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 94% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,863
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,118
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,599
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,008
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,554
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,249
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,102
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 698 | 0 | 31 |
| February | 513 | 2 | 71 |
| March | 335 | 13 | 204 |
| April | 130 | 68 | 399 |
| May | 25 | 230 | 670 |
| June | 0 | 407 | 856 |
| July | 0 | 519 | 984 |
| August | 0 | 501 | 966 |
| September | 9 | 289 | 731 |
| October | 115 | 83 | 442 |
| November | 383 | 6 | 159 |
| December | 656 | 0 | 41 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.8 km from Winters. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00419847 (Wingate). Public domain.