West Orange Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Orange 9 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around November 23, a growing season of about 273 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 16, first November 12
- Median at 32°F
- last February 28, first November 23
- Median at 28°F
- last February 3, first December 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 13 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 29 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 29 |
| 28°F | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 15 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 20 |
| 20°F | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 21 | Jan 14 | Jan 10 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 24 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Jan 29 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 271 | 262 | 256 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 229 | 221 | 214 |
| 32°F | 308 | 297 | 289 | 280 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 249 | 239 |
| 28°F | 352 | 338 | 331 | 321 | 313 | 305 | 297 | 287 | 273 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 342 | 335 | 329 | 309 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 340 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 63% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 24% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 5% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,752
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,429
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,836
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,093
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,448
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,943
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,597
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 456 | 7 | 123 |
| February | 321 | 12 | 165 |
| March | 187 | 42 | 335 |
| April | 73 | 102 | 480 |
| May | 8 | 270 | 727 |
| June | 0 | 427 | 877 |
| July | 0 | 504 | 969 |
| August | 0 | 504 | 969 |
| September | 2 | 361 | 810 |
| October | 56 | 153 | 564 |
| November | 236 | 34 | 277 |
| December | 412 | 14 | 153 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.2 km from West Orange. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00416680 (Orange 9 N). Public domain.