Southmayd Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sherman. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 14 and the first fall freeze around November 19, a growing season of about 250 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 28, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 14, first November 19
- Median at 28°F
- last March 2, first November 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 | Jan 2 |
| 16°F | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 |
| 20°F | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 251 | 242 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 209 | 201 |
| 32°F | 276 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 225 |
| 28°F | 301 | 291 | 284 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 255 | 247 |
| 24°F | 331 | 320 | 311 | 306 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 280 | 269 |
| 20°F | 363 | 349 | 338 | 332 | 326 | 320 | 311 | 304 | 293 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 353 | 346 | 335 | 327 | 313 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 67% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,727
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,261
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,858
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,245
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,765
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,437
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,267
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 675 | 1 | 44 |
| February | 502 | 2 | 78 |
| March | 324 | 17 | 215 |
| April | 127 | 58 | 388 |
| May | 23 | 203 | 645 |
| June | 0 | 419 | 868 |
| July | 0 | 558 | 1,023 |
| August | 0 | 553 | 1,018 |
| September | 7 | 330 | 772 |
| October | 100 | 106 | 477 |
| November | 351 | 12 | 178 |
| December | 617 | 2 | 58 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.3 km from Southmayd. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00418274 (Sherman). Public domain.