Sheldon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Baytown. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 20 and the first fall freeze around December 4, a growing season of about 292 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 6, first November 20
- Median at 32°F
- last February 20, first December 4
- Median at 28°F
- last January 30, first December 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 28 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 |
| 32°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 |
| 28°F | Mar 1 | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Dec 25 |
| 24°F | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | Feb 3 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 13 | Jan 10 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 32°F | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 25 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Jan 29 |
| 24°F | Dec 9 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 23 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 10 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Feb 1 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 291 | 280 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 253 | 247 | 240 | 231 |
| 32°F | 329 | 314 | 306 | 298 | 292 | 283 | 275 | 268 | 257 |
| 28°F | 365 | 352 | 344 | 336 | 331 | 322 | 311 | 302 | 288 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 347 | 339 | 328 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 87% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 44% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 12% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,436
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,828
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,541
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,772
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,082
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,509
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,082
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 408 | 9 | 150 |
| February | 271 | 15 | 201 |
| March | 145 | 54 | 384 |
| April | 42 | 132 | 541 |
| May | 2 | 326 | 789 |
| June | 0 | 478 | 928 |
| July | 0 | 560 | 1,025 |
| August | 0 | 567 | 1,032 |
| September | 1 | 413 | 862 |
| October | 31 | 204 | 640 |
| November | 180 | 53 | 343 |
| December | 356 | 17 | 188 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.2 km from Sheldon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00410586 (Baytown). Public domain.