Schleicher County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Eldorado. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 22 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 234 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 6, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 22, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last March 8, first November 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 |
| 24°F | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 25 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 | Jan 29 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 232 | 224 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 32°F | 259 | 251 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 209 |
| 28°F | 285 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 234 |
| 24°F | 322 | 309 | 301 | 294 | 287 | 281 | 274 | 267 | 258 |
| 20°F | 365 | 352 | 340 | 332 | 323 | 314 | 305 | 299 | 286 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 355 | 343 | 333 | 310 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 90% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 49% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,490
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,087
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,860
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,213
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,693
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,323
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,116
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 622 | 1 | 47 |
| February | 445 | 3 | 101 |
| March | 284 | 15 | 242 |
| April | 103 | 76 | 430 |
| May | 19 | 236 | 682 |
| June | 0 | 400 | 850 |
| July | 0 | 481 | 946 |
| August | 0 | 484 | 948 |
| September | 8 | 287 | 729 |
| October | 97 | 96 | 472 |
| November | 345 | 8 | 179 |
| December | 566 | 1 | 68 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.5 km from Schleicher County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00412809 (Eldorado). Public domain.