Santa Anna Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Coleman. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 14 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 249 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 30, first November 8
- Median at 32°F
- last March 14, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last March 1, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 |
| 24°F | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 6 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 3 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 | Dec 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
| 24°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 16 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 24 | Feb 5 |
| 16°F | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 24 | Feb 1 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 250 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 216 | 210 | 203 |
| 32°F | 275 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 225 |
| 28°F | 310 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 257 | 247 |
| 24°F | 347 | 334 | 325 | 317 | 309 | 302 | 295 | 286 | 276 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 345 | 337 | 329 | 319 | 305 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 349 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 74% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 37% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,162
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,670
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,745
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,058
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,485
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,057
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,781
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 558 | 2 | 78 |
| February | 401 | 7 | 126 |
| March | 248 | 34 | 289 |
| April | 78 | 116 | 492 |
| May | 12 | 294 | 747 |
| June | 0 | 482 | 931 |
| July | 0 | 601 | 1,066 |
| August | 0 | 592 | 1,057 |
| September | 4 | 371 | 818 |
| October | 70 | 145 | 544 |
| November | 279 | 24 | 242 |
| December | 512 | 2 | 95 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.1 km from Santa Anna. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00411875 (Coleman). Public domain.