Runge Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Karnes City 2N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 16 and the first fall freeze around December 9, a growing season of about 300 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 4, first November 27
- Median at 32°F
- last February 16, first December 9
- Median at 28°F
- last January 28, first December 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 28 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 6 |
| 32°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Mar 2 | Feb 20 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 12 | Jan 1 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 25 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
| 32°F | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 28°F | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 19 | Feb 3 |
| 24°F | Dec 8 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 20 | Jan 31 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 298 | 288 | 280 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 249 | 238 |
| 32°F | 338 | 327 | 315 | 306 | 300 | 292 | 284 | 275 | 264 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 356 | 345 | 337 | 330 | 320 | 309 | 296 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 343 | 329 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 35% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 9% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,295
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,218
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,073
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,299
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,588
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,982
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,516
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 365 | 14 | 187 |
| February | 249 | 26 | 232 |
| March | 133 | 74 | 418 |
| April | 30 | 185 | 605 |
| May | 3 | 374 | 835 |
| June | 0 | 529 | 979 |
| July | 0 | 611 | 1,076 |
| August | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| September | 1 | 450 | 898 |
| October | 31 | 235 | 671 |
| November | 150 | 77 | 390 |
| December | 333 | 22 | 210 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.1 km from Runge. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00414696 (Karnes City 2N). Public domain.