Roberts County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Miami. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 32°F | 210 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 171 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 189 |
| 24°F | 255 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 215 | 207 |
| 20°F | 278 | 270 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 226 |
| 16°F | 307 | 295 | 288 | 282 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 259 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,327
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,529
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,958
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,574
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,337
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,254
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,319
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 910 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 735 | 0 | 15 |
| March | 541 | 3 | 95 |
| April | 296 | 18 | 220 |
| May | 97 | 107 | 478 |
| June | 6 | 311 | 754 |
| July | 1 | 447 | 911 |
| August | 2 | 413 | 875 |
| September | 43 | 195 | 603 |
| October | 239 | 33 | 293 |
| November | 576 | 3 | 76 |
| December | 882 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.5 km from Roberts County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415875 (Miami). Public domain.