Rice Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bardwell Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 8 and the first fall freeze around November 21, a growing season of about 256 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 23, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 8, first November 21
- Median at 28°F
- last February 24, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 |
| 28°F | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 14 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 25 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 260 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 214 | 207 |
| 32°F | 285 | 276 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 237 | 229 |
| 28°F | 320 | 308 | 300 | 292 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 264 | 253 |
| 24°F | 357 | 343 | 335 | 327 | 320 | 311 | 304 | 295 | 281 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 350 | 343 | 335 | 327 | 312 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 350 | 337 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 30% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,277
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,586
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,537
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,862
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,307
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,902
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,660
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 588 | 2 | 64 |
| February | 421 | 6 | 111 |
| March | 271 | 23 | 256 |
| April | 95 | 82 | 441 |
| May | 13 | 255 | 707 |
| June | 0 | 473 | 922 |
| July | 0 | 592 | 1,057 |
| August | 0 | 601 | 1,066 |
| September | 5 | 391 | 837 |
| October | 78 | 135 | 526 |
| November | 288 | 22 | 229 |
| December | 520 | 3 | 91 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.1 km from Rice. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00410518 (Bardwell Dam). Public domain.