Ricardo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kingsville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 25 and the first fall freeze around December 20, a growing season of about 329 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 17, first December 4
- Median at 32°F
- last January 25, first December 20
- Median at 28°F
- last January 9, first January 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 | Jan 15 |
| 32°F | Mar 3 | Feb 21 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 18 |
| 28°F | Feb 17 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 23 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Jan 30 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 25 | Dec 19 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Jan 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 21 |
| 28°F | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 17 | Feb 3 |
| 24°F | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 28 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 328 | 316 | 306 | 298 | 290 | 283 | 275 | 268 | 258 |
| 32°F | 365 | 354 | 343 | 336 | 329 | 320 | 310 | 300 | 289 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 348 | 340 | 329 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 48% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 14% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 835
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,882
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,181
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,376
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,610
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,914
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,331
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 269 | 37 | 272 |
| February | 152 | 63 | 345 |
| March | 73 | 146 | 542 |
| April | 12 | 276 | 714 |
| May | 0 | 453 | 918 |
| June | 0 | 582 | 1,032 |
| July | 0 | 640 | 1,105 |
| August | 0 | 663 | 1,128 |
| September | 0 | 512 | 962 |
| October | 12 | 326 | 780 |
| November | 93 | 129 | 491 |
| December | 224 | 57 | 321 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.2 km from Ricardo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00414810 (Kingsville). Public domain.