Presidio Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Presidio. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 23 and the first fall freeze around November 26, a growing season of about 275 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 7, first November 16
- Median at 32°F
- last February 23, first November 26
- Median at 28°F
- last February 3, first December 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 29 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 |
| 24°F | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 24 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 | Jan 3 | Jan 1 | Dec 28 | Dec 23 | Dec 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 9 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 |
| 20°F | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 274 | 267 | 261 | 257 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 229 |
| 32°F | 300 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 251 |
| 28°F | 330 | 321 | 313 | 308 | 303 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 274 |
| 24°F | 360 | 351 | 345 | 339 | 334 | 330 | 323 | 316 | 306 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 355 | 349 | 343 | 334 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 58% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 21% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,371
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,785
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,556
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,769
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,053
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,468
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,046
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 439 | 0 | 96 |
| February | 226 | 8 | 219 |
| March | 90 | 73 | 451 |
| April | 12 | 255 | 693 |
| May | 0 | 517 | 981 |
| June | 0 | 703 | 1,153 |
| July | 0 | 716 | 1,181 |
| August | 0 | 700 | 1,165 |
| September | 1 | 509 | 959 |
| October | 15 | 264 | 715 |
| November | 162 | 37 | 335 |
| December | 427 | 1 | 104 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.1 km from Presidio. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00417262 (Presidio). Public domain.