Presidio County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Candelaria. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 17 and the first fall freeze around November 15, a growing season of about 241 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 5
- Median at 32°F
- last March 17, first November 15
- Median at 28°F
- last February 27, first November 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 12 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
| 24°F | Mar 7 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Feb 20 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Jan 3 | Dec 29 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 24 | Dec 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 | Jan 28 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 | Jan 27 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 241 | 233 | 226 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 196 | 185 |
| 32°F | 268 | 260 | 253 | 246 | 241 | 234 | 228 | 220 | 208 |
| 28°F | 308 | 296 | 287 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 257 | 249 | 236 |
| 24°F | 350 | 338 | 330 | 322 | 314 | 306 | 299 | 290 | 277 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 357 | 350 | 343 | 335 | 325 | 310 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 344 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 76% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 28% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,501
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,157
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,790
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,998
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,286
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,723
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,345
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 448 | 1 | 86 |
| February | 245 | 8 | 197 |
| March | 118 | 44 | 393 |
| April | 24 | 168 | 594 |
| May | 1 | 429 | 893 |
| June | 0 | 615 | 1,065 |
| July | 0 | 645 | 1,110 |
| August | 0 | 608 | 1,073 |
| September | 1 | 436 | 885 |
| October | 26 | 192 | 631 |
| November | 215 | 13 | 259 |
| December | 424 | 1 | 100 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 45.2 km from Presidio County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00411416 (Candelaria). Public domain.