Port O'Connor Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Port O'connor. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 4 and the first fall freeze around December 27, a growing season of about 323 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 20, first December 6
- Median at 32°F
- last February 4, first December 27
- Median at 28°F
- last January 27, first January 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 21 |
| 32°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 9 | Dec 29 |
| 28°F | Mar 1 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 | Dec 15 |
| 24°F | Mar 5 | Feb 21 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 23 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 12 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 32°F | Nov 20 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 20 | Feb 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 27 | Dec 9 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 | Jan 26 | Feb 4 | Feb 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 30 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 24 | Feb 2 | Feb 17 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 328 | 314 | 306 | 299 | 291 | 283 | 274 | 266 | 255 |
| 32°F | 365 | 354 | 341 | 331 | 323 | 315 | 307 | 298 | 282 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 350 | 334 | 323 | 310 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 342 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 51% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 18% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 908
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,301
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,522
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,712
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,934
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,230
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,665
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 292 | 5 | 211 |
| February | 194 | 14 | 252 |
| March | 87 | 71 | 453 |
| April | 16 | 181 | 615 |
| May | 1 | 374 | 839 |
| June | 0 | 519 | 969 |
| July | 0 | 581 | 1,046 |
| August | 0 | 609 | 1,074 |
| September | 0 | 507 | 957 |
| October | 5 | 330 | 790 |
| November | 87 | 85 | 451 |
| December | 227 | 24 | 277 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.6 km from Port O'Connor. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00417186 (Port O'connor). Public domain.