Pecos Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pecos 8W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 239 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 2
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 |
| 32°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
| 24°F | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 25 | Dec 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 20 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 24 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 237 | 228 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 191 |
| 32°F | 261 | 254 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 222 | 214 |
| 28°F | 285 | 276 | 270 | 265 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 238 |
| 24°F | 319 | 306 | 298 | 292 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 265 | 255 |
| 20°F | 360 | 346 | 336 | 329 | 320 | 313 | 306 | 299 | 287 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 352 | 341 | 331 | 318 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 62% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,351
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,535
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,389
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,708
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,166
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,787
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,581
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 597 | 0 | 41 |
| February | 423 | 3 | 95 |
| March | 242 | 28 | 274 |
| April | 71 | 104 | 485 |
| May | 16 | 312 | 761 |
| June | 0 | 525 | 975 |
| July | 0 | 567 | 1,032 |
| August | 0 | 558 | 1,023 |
| September | 3 | 330 | 777 |
| October | 73 | 104 | 499 |
| November | 358 | 4 | 153 |
| December | 569 | 0 | 52 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.2 km from Pecos. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00416893 (Pecos 8W). Public domain.