Pecan Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waxahachie. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 16 and the first fall freeze around November 16, a growing season of about 245 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 30, first November 7
- Median at 32°F
- last March 16, first November 16
- Median at 28°F
- last March 3, first November 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 3 | Feb 22 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 9 | Dec 29 |
| 16°F | Feb 17 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 | Dec 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
| 28°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 248 | 240 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 | 198 |
| 32°F | 271 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 221 |
| 28°F | 301 | 290 | 283 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 251 | 241 |
| 24°F | 338 | 324 | 315 | 306 | 299 | 292 | 284 | 276 | 265 |
| 20°F | 365 | 361 | 350 | 343 | 334 | 327 | 317 | 304 | 293 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 339 | 326 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 51% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,431
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,543
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,368
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,709
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,182
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,815
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,599
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 615 | 1 | 56 |
| February | 458 | 3 | 90 |
| March | 291 | 17 | 235 |
| April | 102 | 74 | 426 |
| May | 13 | 248 | 701 |
| June | 0 | 468 | 918 |
| July | 0 | 598 | 1,063 |
| August | 0 | 604 | 1,069 |
| September | 4 | 382 | 828 |
| October | 75 | 126 | 519 |
| November | 309 | 18 | 209 |
| December | 564 | 3 | 69 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.4 km from Pecan Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00419522 (Waxahachie). Public domain.