Panola County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carthage. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 8 and the first fall freeze around November 19, a growing season of about 255 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 25, first November 8
- Median at 32°F
- last March 8, first November 19
- Median at 28°F
- last February 24, first December 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 32°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 28°F | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 20 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 26 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 20 | Nov 30 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 | Jan 22 |
| 20°F | Dec 8 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 24 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 255 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 218 | 213 | 205 |
| 32°F | 283 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 227 |
| 28°F | 320 | 306 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 277 | 272 | 264 | 254 |
| 24°F | 357 | 345 | 337 | 329 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 350 | 341 | 332 | 321 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 345 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 23% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,263
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,428
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,386
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,711
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,160
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,755
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,507
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 578 | 3 | 75 |
| February | 414 | 7 | 113 |
| March | 260 | 29 | 269 |
| April | 93 | 86 | 446 |
| May | 12 | 254 | 707 |
| June | 0 | 444 | 894 |
| July | 0 | 552 | 1,017 |
| August | 0 | 552 | 1,017 |
| September | 4 | 355 | 801 |
| October | 82 | 121 | 507 |
| November | 303 | 20 | 217 |
| December | 516 | 6 | 99 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.2 km from Panola County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00411500 (Carthage). Public domain.