Olney Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Olney. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 31 and the first fall freeze around November 8, a growing season of about 222 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 11, first October 30
- Median at 32°F
- last March 31, first November 8
- Median at 28°F
- last March 17, first November 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 32°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 24°F | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Dec 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 22 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 181 |
| 32°F | 245 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 206 | 199 |
| 28°F | 271 | 262 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 228 | 220 |
| 24°F | 299 | 288 | 281 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 259 | 252 | 244 |
| 20°F | 336 | 324 | 314 | 307 | 301 | 293 | 286 | 278 | 267 |
| 16°F | 365 | 358 | 347 | 338 | 331 | 324 | 315 | 307 | 294 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 85% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,796
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,443
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,979
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,379
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,918
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,601
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,440
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 690 | 1 | 41 |
| February | 511 | 2 | 75 |
| March | 329 | 17 | 214 |
| April | 129 | 72 | 402 |
| May | 25 | 230 | 670 |
| June | 1 | 460 | 909 |
| July | 0 | 606 | 1,071 |
| August | 0 | 592 | 1,057 |
| September | 9 | 349 | 790 |
| October | 104 | 104 | 471 |
| November | 364 | 10 | 168 |
| December | 634 | 1 | 52 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.3 km from Olney. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00416636 (Olney). Public domain.