Nederland Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Port Arthur Se Tx AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 14 and the first fall freeze around December 7, a growing season of about 301 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 4, first November 23
- Median at 32°F
- last February 14, first December 7
- Median at 28°F
- last January 28, first January 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 27 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 5 |
| 32°F | Mar 13 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 |
| 28°F | Mar 3 | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Dec 23 |
| 24°F | Feb 24 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 3 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 32°F | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 28°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Feb 3 |
| 24°F | Dec 12 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Jan 29 | Feb 11 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 298 | 286 | 278 | 271 | 264 | 258 | 251 | 243 | 235 |
| 32°F | 338 | 327 | 317 | 308 | 301 | 293 | 286 | 276 | 263 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 353 | 345 | 338 | 331 | 324 | 312 | 300 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 334 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 38% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 7% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,262
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,076
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,952
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,165
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,445
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,839
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,377
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 367 | 15 | 178 |
| February | 235 | 26 | 239 |
| March | 125 | 72 | 419 |
| April | 33 | 162 | 579 |
| May | 2 | 358 | 822 |
| June | 0 | 510 | 960 |
| July | 0 | 577 | 1,042 |
| August | 0 | 581 | 1,046 |
| September | 0 | 452 | 901 |
| October | 26 | 231 | 670 |
| November | 158 | 65 | 368 |
| December | 317 | 27 | 222 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.8 km from Nederland. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00012917 (Port Arthur Se Tx AP). Public domain.