Mission Bend Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sugar Land. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 9 and the first fall freeze around December 13, a growing season of about 305 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 2, first November 29
- Median at 32°F
- last February 9, first December 13
- Median at 28°F
- last January 28, first January 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 25 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 2 |
| 32°F | Mar 11 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 | Dec 26 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 11 | Jan 8 | Jan 5 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 32°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Nov 30 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Feb 2 |
| 24°F | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 31 | Feb 9 |
| 20°F | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 2 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 19 | Jan 29 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 306 | 294 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 267 | 260 | 252 | 243 |
| 32°F | 340 | 329 | 321 | 312 | 305 | 297 | 290 | 279 | 269 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 354 | 345 | 337 | 331 | 323 | 313 | 296 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 353 | 343 | 331 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 39% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 14% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 3% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,208
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,289
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,224
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,439
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,712
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,088
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,608
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 367 | 11 | 175 |
| February | 220 | 27 | 253 |
| March | 114 | 85 | 442 |
| April | 25 | 183 | 608 |
| May | 1 | 387 | 851 |
| June | 0 | 537 | 987 |
| July | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| August | 0 | 626 | 1,091 |
| September | 0 | 465 | 915 |
| October | 22 | 256 | 700 |
| November | 143 | 71 | 388 |
| December | 315 | 20 | 214 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.1 km from Mission Bend. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00418728 (Sugar Land). Public domain.