Milam Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for San Augustine. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 240 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first November 2
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
| 32°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Mar 5 | Feb 21 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 4 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 28°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 29 |
| 16°F | Dec 8 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 | Feb 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 241 | 232 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 192 |
| 32°F | 268 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 222 | 214 |
| 28°F | 303 | 290 | 281 | 273 | 267 | 260 | 254 | 245 | 235 |
| 24°F | 340 | 328 | 318 | 308 | 301 | 295 | 287 | 276 | 262 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 357 | 349 | 341 | 334 | 325 | 310 | 298 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 349 | 331 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 35% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,183
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,355
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,373
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,687
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,121
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,698
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,442
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 549 | 5 | 87 |
| February | 396 | 7 | 122 |
| March | 254 | 29 | 272 |
| April | 98 | 89 | 446 |
| May | 16 | 247 | 696 |
| June | 0 | 420 | 870 |
| July | 0 | 525 | 990 |
| August | 0 | 531 | 996 |
| September | 3 | 345 | 792 |
| October | 79 | 124 | 511 |
| November | 278 | 26 | 236 |
| December | 511 | 8 | 103 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 27.6 km from Milam. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00417951 (San Augustine). Public domain.