McKinney Acres Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Andrews. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 14, a growing season of about 240 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 3, first November 5
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 14
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 |
| 24°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 20 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 6 | Dec 27 |
| 16°F | Feb 18 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 25 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 240 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 195 |
| 32°F | 267 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 222 | 214 |
| 28°F | 296 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 249 | 238 |
| 24°F | 330 | 319 | 309 | 303 | 297 | 289 | 281 | 274 | 264 |
| 20°F | 365 | 354 | 346 | 338 | 330 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 293 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 355 | 346 | 336 | 324 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 52% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,407
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,396
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,224
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,558
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,025
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,649
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,439
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 607 | 0 | 46 |
| February | 421 | 3 | 96 |
| March | 260 | 21 | 261 |
| April | 88 | 103 | 469 |
| May | 12 | 301 | 753 |
| June | 0 | 486 | 936 |
| July | 0 | 541 | 1,006 |
| August | 0 | 516 | 981 |
| September | 7 | 310 | 753 |
| October | 84 | 107 | 494 |
| November | 345 | 10 | 176 |
| December | 583 | 0 | 54 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.6 km from McKinney Acres. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00410248 (Andrews). Public domain.