Mathis Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mathis 4 Ssw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 31 and the first fall freeze around December 23, a growing season of about 328 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 21, first December 4
- Median at 32°F
- last January 31, first December 23
- Median at 28°F
- last January 13, first January 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 |
| 32°F | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 15 | Jan 4 | Dec 22 |
| 28°F | Feb 20 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 27 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Feb 14 | Jan 31 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Jan 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 28 |
| 28°F | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 | Feb 7 |
| 24°F | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 25 | Feb 11 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 324 | 311 | 305 | 297 | 289 | 282 | 274 | 266 | 255 |
| 32°F | 365 | 351 | 342 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 310 | 301 | 288 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 343 | 333 | 317 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 50% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 16% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 2% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,078
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,323
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,381
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,588
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,846
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,200
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,684
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 326 | 19 | 209 |
| February | 205 | 41 | 280 |
| March | 101 | 102 | 474 |
| April | 23 | 200 | 628 |
| May | 1 | 384 | 848 |
| June | 0 | 523 | 973 |
| July | 0 | 584 | 1,049 |
| August | 0 | 609 | 1,074 |
| September | 0 | 462 | 912 |
| October | 19 | 273 | 720 |
| November | 122 | 91 | 427 |
| December | 281 | 33 | 253 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Mathis. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415661 (Mathis 4 Ssw). Public domain.