Marion County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jefferson. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 8, a growing season of about 236 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first October 30
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 8
- Median at 28°F
- last March 3, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 |
| 24°F | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 25 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 237 | 228 | 222 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 188 |
| 32°F | 263 | 253 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 210 |
| 28°F | 298 | 285 | 277 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 246 | 237 |
| 24°F | 338 | 326 | 315 | 306 | 299 | 289 | 282 | 274 | 264 |
| 20°F | 365 | 360 | 352 | 345 | 338 | 331 | 322 | 312 | 301 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 356 | 345 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 82% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 43% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,470
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,393
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,166
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,515
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,002
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,642
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,435
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 606 | 3 | 64 |
| February | 448 | 4 | 96 |
| March | 283 | 27 | 251 |
| April | 111 | 83 | 426 |
| May | 16 | 242 | 691 |
| June | 0 | 448 | 898 |
| July | 0 | 561 | 1,026 |
| August | 0 | 547 | 1,012 |
| September | 8 | 343 | 784 |
| October | 105 | 108 | 473 |
| November | 335 | 21 | 198 |
| December | 558 | 5 | 82 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.2 km from Marion County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00414577 (Jefferson). Public domain.