Lefors Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pampa #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 14 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 14, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 194 | 189 | 184 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 157 |
| 32°F | 216 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 174 |
| 28°F | 237 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 199 | 193 |
| 24°F | 259 | 253 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 219 | 210 |
| 20°F | 282 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 229 |
| 16°F | 313 | 303 | 294 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 269 | 262 | 251 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,175
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,600
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,142
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,727
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,464
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,360
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,409
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 877 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 710 | 0 | 23 |
| March | 530 | 4 | 101 |
| April | 281 | 23 | 239 |
| May | 92 | 120 | 497 |
| June | 7 | 320 | 763 |
| July | 1 | 461 | 925 |
| August | 2 | 419 | 882 |
| September | 36 | 212 | 627 |
| October | 234 | 39 | 304 |
| November | 554 | 2 | 80 |
| December | 851 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.1 km from Lefors. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00416776 (Pampa #2). Public domain.