Lee County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lexington. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 5 and the first fall freeze around November 21, a growing season of about 262 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 20, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 5, first November 21
- Median at 28°F
- last February 17, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 32°F | Mar 31 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 17 |
| 24°F | Mar 4 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Feb 15 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 |
| 28°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 30 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 264 | 256 | 248 | 243 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 217 | 209 |
| 32°F | 294 | 282 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 243 | 231 |
| 28°F | 331 | 319 | 308 | 301 | 294 | 287 | 278 | 270 | 260 |
| 24°F | 365 | 358 | 348 | 338 | 331 | 322 | 312 | 303 | 289 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 349 | 339 | 323 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 47% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 10% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,774
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,922
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,327
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,599
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,966
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,464
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,114
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 477 | 8 | 116 |
| February | 333 | 14 | 168 |
| March | 190 | 52 | 348 |
| April | 61 | 133 | 524 |
| May | 7 | 323 | 781 |
| June | 0 | 503 | 952 |
| July | 0 | 597 | 1,062 |
| August | 0 | 611 | 1,076 |
| September | 2 | 425 | 873 |
| October | 50 | 195 | 611 |
| November | 226 | 51 | 307 |
| December | 428 | 13 | 147 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.5 km from Lee County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415193 (Lexington). Public domain.