Kerens Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Corsicana Campbell Fld. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 7 and the first fall freeze around November 23, a growing season of about 261 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 20, first November 13
- Median at 32°F
- last March 7, first November 23
- Median at 28°F
- last February 22, first December 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 25 |
| 24°F | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 12 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 8 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 32°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 3 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 28 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 263 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 218 | 209 |
| 32°F | 291 | 281 | 274 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 243 | 234 |
| 28°F | 323 | 311 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 283 | 276 | 268 | 258 |
| 24°F | 365 | 350 | 340 | 333 | 325 | 317 | 309 | 301 | 288 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 345 | 335 | 322 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 91% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 52% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 17% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,021
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,772
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,952
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,247
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,659
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,212
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,912
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 531 | 4 | 92 |
| February | 379 | 12 | 141 |
| March | 225 | 39 | 305 |
| April | 75 | 107 | 484 |
| May | 7 | 289 | 747 |
| June | 0 | 486 | 936 |
| July | 0 | 606 | 1,071 |
| August | 0 | 615 | 1,080 |
| September | 2 | 408 | 856 |
| October | 58 | 167 | 575 |
| November | 259 | 30 | 258 |
| December | 485 | 9 | 113 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.7 km from Kerens. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00053912 (Corsicana Campbell Fld). Public domain.