Kennedale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Arlington Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 9 and the first fall freeze around November 21, a growing season of about 256 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 24, first November 8
- Median at 32°F
- last March 9, first November 21
- Median at 28°F
- last February 25, first December 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Jan 29 |
| 24°F | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 14 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 |
| 16°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 7 | Jan 3 | Dec 29 | Dec 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 |
| 28°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 24 |
| 20°F | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 18 | Jan 27 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 257 | 247 | 241 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 213 | 204 |
| 32°F | 282 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 229 |
| 28°F | 319 | 307 | 298 | 291 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 254 |
| 24°F | 357 | 341 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 313 | 306 | 297 | 283 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 346 | 338 | 331 | 320 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 342 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 26% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,126
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,824
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,910
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,216
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,643
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,219
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,942
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 553 | 3 | 81 |
| February | 399 | 10 | 128 |
| March | 233 | 41 | 301 |
| April | 79 | 108 | 481 |
| May | 9 | 288 | 744 |
| June | 0 | 507 | 957 |
| July | 0 | 634 | 1,099 |
| August | 0 | 634 | 1,099 |
| September | 2 | 409 | 856 |
| October | 69 | 156 | 554 |
| November | 275 | 29 | 245 |
| December | 507 | 6 | 99 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.5 km from Kennedale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00053907 (Arlington Muni AP). Public domain.